However, the Ipsos polling conducted exclusively for Global News and released Saturday also shows that support varies by age, with fewer Generation Z and Millennial adults backing the Liberals and their approach to the growing US trade war.
“These people are living in what we like to call ‘the endurance economy’: they’re just getting by from day to day, and they’re enduring economic life right now,” said Darrell Bricker, chairman of Ipsos Canada.
“I think one of the takeaways here is that while Canadians are generally supportive of the idea of pushing back hard on the United States … if any of those things could bring a personal risk, if you’re somebody who’s living in that endurance economy, you’re less likely to support it.”
The poll found 63 percent of Canadians surveyed feel Canada was right to stand firm in the trade negotiations, “even if it meant higher costs and job losses”, while just 18 per cent said Canada should have made additional sacrifices to get a deal.
An even larger majority, 73 percent, said they back Ottawa’s “dollar for dollar” counter-tariffs on $28 billion worth of US goods, matching the up to 50 percent tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump last week after trade talks collapsed.
But those numbers fall to 48 percent of Gen Z adults and 57 percent of Millennials who support Canada standing firm, and 59 percent of Millennials who were happy to see Canada’s retaliatory tariffs. By comparison, about 80 percent of elderly boomers supported both of those positions.
Bricker said the disparity points to economic realities for those different age groups.
“The people who were the ‘elbows up’ crowd in the last election campaign, who voted for the Liberals and continue to vote for the Liberals, they’re older, they’re more economically established, they tend to have higher degrees of education, they tend be more affluent,” Bricker said.
“So as a result of that, there’s less risk for them. So they can be all ‘elbows up’, but it doesn’t cost them as much as it’s going to cost the other people they’re asking to have their elbows up.”
The age gap also extends to who Canadians said they would vote for if an election were to be held tomorrow.
While the Liberals maintain a healthy lead of 44 percent support overall among those surveyed, compared to 33 percent for the Conservatives, 40 percent of Millennials chose the Conservatives over the Liberals, who see just 30 percent support in that age group.
The Liberals’ support is down by just one point since April, while the Conservatives saw no change. The NDP at 10 percent and the Bloc Quebecois at eight percent nationally are each up one point since April.
“I have not in my consciousness recalled as tumultuous a week, or couple of weeks, or couple of months, in Canadian politics since probably 1995, when we went through the sovereignty referendum,” Bricker said.
“You would expect that you would see a lot of change in terms of political support, and we’re seeing virtually none (since the federal election). … I would say a lot of what’s going on right now is basically baked in, in terms of how it relates to federal politics,” Bricker added.
Bricker added Canadians are likely not anticipating another election anytime soon, meaning they’re not thinking hard about their vote intentions right now.
Asked if they felt Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre and his party would have done a better job handling the trade issues with the US than Carney, 37 percent overall said yes, with 67 percent of Conservative voters agreeing.
A sizeable 62 percent of respondents said they would like to see Parliament recalled before it’s due to reconvene in late September in order to debate and vote on Canada’s response to the US, which Bricker said could pose a vulnerability to an otherwise politically strong Carney.
“Canadians know their institutions actually matter to them,” he said, adding, “Not recalling Parliament and not having a conversation through our political institutions is something that does represent a little bit of a vulnerability … (but) I would say, at this stage of the day, a mere crack.”
The poll also found strong support for a slew of other retaliatory measures that Canada could take against US trade actions, from imposing tariffs on critical minerals and energy (both 73 percent) to limiting those exports South of the border (71 percent for critical minerals and 69 percent for crude oil, natural gas and electricity).
Two-thirds said they would like to see an “aggressive” tax on US tech giants operating in Canada, while 64 percent were supportive of logistically slowing down US imports by tightening border inspections on incoming goods.
The least popular option presented — letting the Canadian dollar weaken naturally to make Canadian exports more globally competitive — saw 45 percent support.
On “Buy American”, 80 percent said they supported government purchasing and infrastructure projected prioritizing Canadian materials and contracts, with 60 percent saying they will make an effort to prioritize Canadian products, services and companies themselves.
Between two-thirds and 80 percent of respondents were supportive of other possible government support measures in the trade war, such as helping businesses expand to markets outside the US, providing job training and retraining programs for affected workers, and offering loans, emergency aid, extended Employment Insurance, or financial incentives to businesses.
Sixty-seven percent of Canadians said they would like to see a major COVID-era subsidy program put in place to support Canadian workers affected by tariffs by both countries in the trade war, up eight points since last July.
And while 52 percent overall said they are personally willing to undergo some “significant” economic pain to help Canada weather the storm, that number once again was lower among Generation Z (41 percent) and higher among boomers (67 percent).
“I thought the numbers would be stronger,” Bricker said.
“As you start going down the list and people start considering things that might be a little bit more onerous, or things that they’re really not that certain what it means, you start to see things get a little bit more wobbly. On the side of support right now, but definitely not as baked in and strong.”